Chasing A Flush on the Web

Chasing a flush on line – Sometimes the numbers just do not add up!

There is an age old debate in poker – ought to you chase a flush? First of all we must define what we imply here by "chasing a flush on the web."

Chasing anything in Texas hold em poker could be the practice of gambling to stay in a palm in the hope that you simply will produce a much better hand, even while you might have absolutely nothing in the time. So chasing a flush implies wagering that you will obtain the card or card that you simply ought to total your flush hand about the turn or river. You cannot chase a flush before the flop because at that time you only have 2 cards so the flush is not on.

So let’s say you happen to be playing one of the big poker internet sites on line, you’ve been dealt the Ace and 9 of spades and you have paid to see the flop.

The flop is twos seven spades King of diamonds and one of your opponents comes out betting strongly with a fair sized increase, what do you do?

Initially of all ask your self what kind of hand you are up against. The possibilities are triples, another flush draw, a pair of Kings or a complete bluff, so as it stands you happen to be only succeeding towards the bluff with your Ace. Around the other hand when you hit a spade in the last two cards you may have the nut flush and could only lose to a full house or four of a kind.

To the face of it you may possibly assume that statistically you’ve about a 50-50 likelihood of hitting your spade, after all there is two cards to come and 4 suits so there must be about a half possibility, proper?


You already have 2 of the spades in your hands and there is one more 2 showing around the table, so you know 5 cards and 4 of them are spades. That implies you’ve 9 spades left offered out of the forty seven cards you haven’t seen, which is only a 42 percent opportunity of catching your flush.

If you do wager to the turn and do not produce your flush, what do you do then? You’ve probably now grow to be pot-committed, you have put so a lot into the pot that you simply may well as well bet again within the river unless there is a big increase or all-in against you, except now your chances of making the flush have dropped dramatically to only 21 per-cent.

Except what of that other factor, the mysterious internet poker syndrome? What I imply by that is even though you statistically have a forty two percent possibility of generating a flush, is that what truly happens in reality? When you wagered the same hands at the very same net poker table 100 instances would you acquire a flush 42 occasions? From my personal encounter I doubt it. Flushes seem to come around a lot less usually than forty two out of one hundred occasions!

That’s just my own opinion and I’m certain the poker sites would tell you a distinct story, but the way I see it is forty two percent is the very Ideal you happen to be ever going to obtain and you might well have a lot much less probability than that of hitting your flush.

Bottom line? Chasing a flush on the web is really a very risky strategy that sucks you in and over commits you, without giving you enough of a chance of pulling out the succeeding hand.

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